Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Bradford City	Draw	Newport County
33.15% ( 0.65)	27.69% ( -0.36)	39.16% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.67% (

1.46)

57.33% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

1.15)

78.16% (

-1.15)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74% (

1.2)

32.26% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24% (

1.34)

68.76% (

-1.34)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

0.54)

28.51% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

0.67)

64.29% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Bradford City 33.14%

Newport County 39.16%

Draw 27.68%

Bradford City	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.14%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.16%