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League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
CU

Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Carlisle

Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCarlisle United
27.53%26.93%45.54%
Both teams to score 48.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55%56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54%77.46%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03%35.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25%72.75%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.28%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 27.53%
    Carlisle United 45.53%
    Draw 26.92%
Bristol RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.53%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 12.42%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.53%

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