Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.