Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.