Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.