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League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
CNG Stadium
CU

Harrogate
1 - 0
Carlisle

March (28' pen.)
Francis (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
25.95%27.01%47.04%
Both teams to score 46.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35%57.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59%78.41%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05%37.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28%74.72%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47%24.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99%59.01%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.95%
    Carlisle United 47.03%
    Draw 27.01%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 13.08%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-3 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.03%

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