Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
