Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
