Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
