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League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
EC

Newport
1 - 1
Exeter

Telford (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowman (22')
Hartridge (9'), Bowman (45')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawExeter City
35.29%27.08%37.63%
Both teams to score 50.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95%76.04%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42%65.58%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17%63.82%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 35.28%
    Exeter City 37.62%
    Draw 27.07%
Newport CountyDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.62%

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