Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.