After such a positive result away from home last weekend, Colchester will be desperate to give their home crowd something to shout about and they could make it difficult for Swindon.
On paper, Swindon should collect three points given their superior league position, but the boost the hosts would have received from last Saturday could play a big role in this weekend's result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
