Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
3.35) 
-1.02) 
