Gillingham have failed to win any of their last four visits to the Cherry Red Records Stadium, losing three and managing one draw since a 4-2 win in March 2019. Wimbledon have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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