Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-5.36) 
0.27) 
