SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.88% ( 0.14) | 23.4% ( -0.02) | 33.72% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.06) | 38.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( 0.06) | 60.83% ( -0.06) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.08) | 18.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.49% ( 0.14) | 49.51% ( -0.14) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.04) | 22.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.06) | 56.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.72% |
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