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League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
CT

Doncaster
4 - 1
Crawley

Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-0 Crawley Town

Crawley have struggled so far this season and will be hoping to avoid another disappointing result on Saturday. Doncaster too have struggled, but as the hosts, expect them to put things right with a win against Crawley this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawCrawley Town
41.78%26.24%31.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 52.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08%51.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.78%
    Crawley Town 31.98%
    Draw 26.23%
Doncaster RoversDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Newcastle U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Stockport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Portsmouth (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two


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