SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Crawley Town |
38.86% ( -0.32) | 25.9% ( 0.25) | 35.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( -1.08) | 49.8% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( -0.97) | 71.8% ( 0.97) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -0.66) | 25.15% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -0.92) | 59.87% ( 0.93) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( -0.47) | 27.2% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( -0.61) | 62.62% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.24% |
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