SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
39.94% ( -1.43) | 26.52% ( 0.12) | 33.54% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.2) | 52.69% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -0.17) | 74.33% ( 0.16) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.85) | 25.89% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( -1.15) | 60.88% ( 1.15) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.76) | 29.66% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.92) | 65.71% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.54% |
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