Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
