SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 20.3% | 22.45% | 57.25% |
| Both teams to score 53.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% | 44.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% | 67.32% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.06% | 72.94% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% | 15.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 5.69% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.3% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 6.06% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.24% |
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