SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
| 32.92% | 28.31% | 38.77% |
| Both teams to score 46.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.94% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% | 33.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.75% | 70.25% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.07% | 65.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 12.12% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.77% |
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