Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.
