Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
