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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
LC

Notts County
0 - 2
Lincoln


Baldwin (29'), O'Brien (44')
Baldwin (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roughan (23'), Sorensen (48')
Smith (15'), O'Connor (41')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Notts County and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawLincoln City
40.72% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18) 24.15% (-0.032 -0.03) 35.13% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.62% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (0.19600000000001 0.2)41.85% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (0.197 0.2)64.25% (-0.196 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.33%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20699999999999 0.21)23.53% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.299 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 40.72%
    Lincoln City 35.13%
    Draw 24.15%
Notts CountyDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Notts County 1-5 Stoke
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 York City
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Shrewsbury
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One


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