Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Lincoln City |
40.72% ( -0.18) | 24.15% ( -0.03) | 35.13% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 60.62% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% ( 0.2) | 41.85% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% ( 0.2) | 64.25% ( -0.2) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% | 20.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% ( 0) | 53.33% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( 0.21) | 23.53% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( 0.3) | 57.58% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Lincoln City |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.13% |
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