SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
31.57% ( 0.01) | 27.72% ( 0.01) | 40.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( -0.03) | 57.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( -0.02) | 78.52% ( 0.02) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.01) | 33.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.76% ( -0.01) | 70.24% ( 0.01) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.02) | 27.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.03) | 63.45% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.71% |
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