SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
61.31% ( 0.05) | 20.77% ( 0.03) | 17.91% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.31) | 41.06% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.32) | 63.45% ( 0.32) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.09) | 12.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.64% ( -0.17) | 39.35% ( 0.17) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.28) | 36.42% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -0.29) | 73.21% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.91% |
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