Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.12) 
