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League Two | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
NC

Tranmere
2 - 1
Newport

Jennings (41'), Morris (58')
Norman (11'), Hendry (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hudlin (84')
Jameson (27'), Evans (88'), Hudlin (90+3')
Jameson (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewport County
59.45% (0.222 0.22) 23.11% (-0.096 -0.1) 17.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.193 0.19)51.75% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.166 0.17)73.52% (-0.164 -0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.14800000000001 0.15)17.08% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (0.257 0.26)47.27% (-0.255 -0.26)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)43.31% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)79.56% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 59.44%
    Newport County 17.44%
    Draw 23.11%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 2-4 Peterborough
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two


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