SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
49.09% ( -0.35) | 23.23% ( 0.08) | 27.67% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( -0.18) | 40.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( -0.19) | 63.29% ( 0.19) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.19) | 16.86% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( -0.35) | 46.88% ( 0.36) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0.1) | 27.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( 0.12) | 63.26% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.16% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.67% |
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