Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%).