Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
