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League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 21, 2021 at 1pm UK
Rodney Parade
FG

Newport
0 - 2
Forest Green


Hartigan (34'), Townsend (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davison (43'), Matt (63' pen.)
Bernard (34'), Adams (51'), Godwin-Malife (67')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
37.54%27.57%34.89%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33%56.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37%77.63%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.07%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 37.53%
    Forest Green Rovers 34.88%
    Draw 27.57%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.88%

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