SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Notts County |
36.83% ( 0.19) | 25.71% ( -0.04) | 37.46% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.19) | 48.88% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.17) | 70.97% ( -0.16) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( 0.19) | 25.85% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.19% ( 0.26) | 60.81% ( -0.26) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.01) | 25.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.67% ( 0.01) | 60.33% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.46% |
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