Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.03) 
