Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Notts County
27.47%	24.91%	47.61%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.46%

48.53% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34%

70.66%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18%

31.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75%

68.24% (

-0)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57%

20.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13%

52.86%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 27.47%

Notts County 47.61%

Draw 24.91%

Gillingham	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.61%