Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
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