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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
35.54% ( -0.14) | 26.72% ( 0.05) | 37.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.21) | 53.25% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.18) | 74.81% ( 0.18) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.19) | 28.68% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.24) | 64.5% ( 0.23) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.05) | 27.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.06) | 62.85% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.73% |
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