Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.05) 
