Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.