Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
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