Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
-0.19) 
0.34) 
