SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
39.73% ( 3.33) | 24.8% ( -0.04) | 35.47% ( -3.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( 0.07) | 44.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 1.76) | 22.5% ( -1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( 2.56) | 56.07% ( -2.56) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -1.73) | 24.75% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -2.48) | 59.31% ( 2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.47% |
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