Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
44.9% | 25.94% | 29.16% |
Both teams to score 52.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% | 51.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% | 73.58% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% | 23.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% | 56.82% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% | 32.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% | 68.75% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.16% |
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