SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
50.42% ( 0.92) | 23.56% ( -0.16) | 26.02% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.13) | 43.7% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( 0.12) | 66.09% ( -0.12) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0.4) | 17.42% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( 0.69) | 47.86% ( -0.69) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.51) | 30.38% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% ( -0.61) | 66.58% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.02% |
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