Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.