Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0) 
