SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | MK Dons |
69.03% ( 3.21) | 17.33% ( -1.8) | 13.65% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( 2.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.69% ( 5.56) | 33.31% ( -5.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.92% ( 6.11) | 55.08% ( -6.11) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% ( 2.28) | 8.74% ( -2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.95% ( 5.29) | 30.04% ( -5.29) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( 1.68) | 36.88% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 1.64) | 73.67% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.3)1-0 @ 7.86% ( -1.52)3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.52)4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.55)4-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.74)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.46)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.46)5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.54)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.31)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.26)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.1) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -1.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.33% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.84)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.65% |
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