Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
