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League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
SU

Newport
4 - 0
Scunthorpe

Taft (29' og.), Demetriou (34', 85'), Collins (39')
Shephard (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Green (87'), Onariase (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Scunthorpe United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawScunthorpe United
55.44%25.25%19.31%
Both teams to score 44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79%53.22%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72%44.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65%80.36%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 55.43%
    Scunthorpe United 19.31%
    Draw 25.24%
Newport CountyDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 14.42%
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.43%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.31%

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