Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
0.02) 
-0.01) 
