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League Two | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
FG

Newport
1 - 1
Forest Green

Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')

We said: Newport County 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

Both of these teams are pushing for promotion this season, and that places a lot of importance on each fixture, especially against other teams around themselves in the league. While Forest Green Rovers have been dominant throughout the campaign, they are struggling for form as of late, and that could lead to the two teams battling it out to a draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
36%24.27%39.74%
Both teams to score 60.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72%42.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32%64.68%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81%57.19%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66%54.34%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36%
    Forest Green Rovers 39.74%
    Draw 24.26%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.74%

Read more!
Read more!


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