Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).