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League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
SC

Northampton
1 - 0
Salford City

Lewis (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lowe (35'), Ndaba (66')

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Salford City

There is very little to choose between these two sides heading into their meeting on Saturday, and because of this, we can see them playing out a draw in a tight game. The hosts are on a poor run of form and the visitors are inconsistent in their performances and results, particularly on their travels, so a draw seems a likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
39.35%28.06%32.59%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22%58.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98%65.02%
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6%33.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97%70.03%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.34%
    Salford City 32.58%
    Draw 28.05%
Northampton TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.58%

Read more!
Read more!


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